Eleven Days Out: Three Tax Rates, One Deadline in Pennsylvania

United Gaming Advisors / Monte Cristo Gaming — October 2, 2026

Key Takeaways for Gaming Operators and Advisors

  • 11 days remain before the Pennsylvania Supreme Court's October 13 skill-games cutoff.

  • The rate gap is the real obstacle. Rep. Diamond's plan is 20%; Senate leadership has backed 35%; Gov. Shapiro has suggested 52%, per reporting through September 28–30.

  • Pittman's words: a regulatory path "makes sense," but "whether we can get there is a very open question."

  • No committee action found on any bill, including the HB 2793/HB 2795 extension bills.

  • Chicago: the Illinois Gaming Board still lists 64 licensed and 287 pending establishments.

Yesterday we covered the Senate leader's skepticism. Today the question is why: the three players aren't close on the number.

Three rates. Rep. Dan Diamond's plan, reported by Local 21 on September 30, would tax skill games at 20% and cap locations at five machines (we have not confirmed a bill number). The Pennsylvania Capital-Star reported September 28 that Senate leadership has supported a 35% tax, while Gov. Shapiro has suggested 52%. The parties also disagree on where revenue goes: the general fund or public transit. Reporting did not date when the 35% and 52% positions were first floated, so read them as the positions on the table as of late September.

Infographic: Pennsylvania still stuck, five skill-games bills (HB 2213, HB 2557, HB 2801, HB 2802, SB 1079) with no committee votes ahead of the October 13 enforcement deadline.

Why the gap matters for operators. Each rate implies a very different business. Pittman himself noted that small businesses like laundromats and convenience stores depend on skill-games revenue and that heavy taxation could hurt them. A deal near 20% and a deal near 52% change location-level economics, route agreements and machine-count decisions. Running scenarios now beats guessing after a vote.

The calendar. PoliticsPA's October 1 playbook notes lawmakers returned September 28 after a ten-week recess; the court ruled June 15 that skill games are slot machines and the 120-day safe harbor ends October 13. Outlets disagree on how many session days remain (three to eleven). We aren't picking one.

What operators should do. Enforcement messaging is unchanged: the Attorney General and State Police say machines must be physically removed. Whatever the legislature does, have removal logistics, customer and staff communications, and a financial model for each tax scenario ready.

Chicago: counts unchanged

From the Illinois Gaming Board's lists filtered to City = Chicago: 64 licensed, 287 pending. We found no new developments in Chicago, Missouri, Georgia, Texas, Nevada, West Virginia, Montana, Oregon or Nebraska today.

Monte Cristo Gaming graphic: Chicago VGT still stalling, zero city licenses and zero terminals, with a Chicago skyline, a row of gaming terminals and a call to design your casino room.

Want a scenario model for your Pennsylvania locations before October 13? Reach out.

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Pennsylvania’s Real Plan B: A Six-Month Extension Sitting in Committee